Na 2022, n'okpuru ndabere nke ọnụ ahịa dị elu nke ọnụ ahịa coal na-aga n'ihu na ikike mmepụta ụlọ n'ahịa methanol ụlọ, ọ gafere n'usoro ịma jijiji nke "W" yana njupụta kachasị karịa 36%.Na-atụ anya 2023, ndị na-ahụ maka ụlọ ọrụ kwenyere na ahịa methanol nke afọ a ka ga-aga n'ihu na ọnọdụ nnukwu yana usoro okirikiri ụlọ ọrụ.Site na ngbanwe nke njikọ ọkọnọ na ọchịchọ na ngbanwe nke ọnụ ahịa akụrụngwa, a na-atụ anya na ihe nrụpụta ga-eto n'otu oge, ahịa ahụ ga-akwụsi ike ma kwụsie ike.Ọ na-egosikwa njiri mara nke mbelata ikike mmepụta ihe, mgbanwe n'usoro ndị ahịa, yana ọtụtụ mgbanwe n'ahịa.N'otu oge ahụ, mmetụta nke mbubata mbubata na ahịa ụlọ nwere ike pụta ìhè na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ.
Ọnụ ọgụgụ uto nke ikike na-ebelata
Dabere na ọnụ ọgụgụ sitere na Henan Chemical Network, na 2022, ikike mmepụta methanol nke obodo m bụ nde tọn 5.545, yana ikike nrụpụta methanol ọhụrụ zuru ụwa ọnụ gbadoro ụkwụ na China.Dị ka nke njedebe nke 2022, mba m ngụkọta methanol mmepụta ikike bụ banyere 113.06 nde tọn, aza 59% nke zuru ụwa ọnụ ngụkọta ike mmepụta, na irè mmepụta ike bụ banyere 100 nde tọn, mmụba nke 5.7% afọ -on - afọ.
Han Hongwei, osote onye isi oche nke Henan Petroleum na Chemical Industry Association, kwuru na na 2023, ikike mmepụta methanol nke obodo m na-aga n'ihu na-eto eto, mana ọnụego uto ga-ebelata.Na 2023, ikike methanol ọhụrụ nke obodo m nwere ike ịbụ ihe ruru nde tọn 4.9.N'oge ahụ, ngụkọta ike mmepụta methanol ụlọ ga-eru nde tọn 118, mmụba otu afọ n'afọ nke 4.4%.Ka ọ dị ugbu a, ngwaọrụ coal-to-methanol emepụtara ọhụrụ na-ebelata nke ukwuu, ọkachasị n'ihi nkwalite ebumnuche “carbon okpukpu abụọ” yana nnukwu ego itinye ego n'ọrụ kemịkalụ coal.Ma ikike ọhụrụ ahụ nwere ike ịtụgharị n'ụzọ dị irè n'ime ikike mmepụta n'ezie n'ọdịnihu kwesịrị ịṅa ntị na nduzi amụma nke atụmatụ "atụmatụ nke iri na anọ nke ise" na ntụziaka nke ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ ọhụrụ, yana mgbanwe na gburugburu ebe obibi. nchebe na atumatu coal.
Dị ka ahịa n'ihu ozi nzaghachi, dị ka nke January 29, mainstream trading price nke anụ ụlọ methanol ebiliwo 2,600 yuan (ton price, otu n'okpuru), na ọnụ ahịa ọdụ ụgbọ mmiri ọbụna bilitere na 2,800 yuan, mmụba kwa ọnwa ruru 13. %"Mmetụta nke mmalite nke ikike ọhụrụ na ahịa nwere ike igosi na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ, a na-atụkwa anya na nlọghachi azụ na ala nke methanol ọnụahịa na mmalite nke afọ ga-aga n'ihu."Han Hongwei kwuru.
Nhazi ihe oriri na-agbanwe
Onye na-ahụ maka ọrụ Zhongyuan Futures Methanol kwuru na n'ihi mgbochi na ịchịkwa ọrịa na ike ọgwụgwụ nke nnukwu akụ na ụba adịghị ike, usoro oriri nke methanol n'ọdịnihu ga-agbanwekwa.N'ime ha, ngwa ngwa mmepe nke coal-to-olefins nwere ihe dị ka 55% nwere ike belata, na ntinye nke ụlọ ọrụ ọdịnala na-atụ anya na-eto eto ọzọ.
Cui Huajie, onye na-ahụ maka njikwa kemịkalụ Henan Ruiyuanxin, kwuru na mkpa olefin adịla ike kemgbe afọ 2022, na agbanyeghị na ahịa methanol raw ka ejiri ihe mgbagwoju anya gbanwee, ọ ka dị elu.N'okpuru ọnụ ahịa dị elu, coal-to-olefin na-akwado mfu nke mfu n'ime afọ.N'ịbụ nke na-emetụta nke a, mmepe nke coal-to-olefin gosipụtara ihe ịrịba ama nke ịda mbà n'obi.Site na nnụcha kachasị na nhazi kemịkalụ nke usoro otu ụlọ na 2022 - Shenghong nchacha na mmepụta zuru oke, ọrụ Slipon methanol olefin (MTO) nke methanol ga-abụ nde tọn 2.4 na tiori.Ọnụego uto olefins na methanol n'ezie ga-eji nwayọ nwayọ.
Dị ka onye njikwa nke Henan Energy Group si kwuo, n'akụkụ ọdịnala nke methanol, a ga-ewepụta ọnụ ọgụgụ dị ukwuu nke acetic acid site na 2020 ruo 2021 n'okpuru adọta nnukwu uru, yana ikike mmepụta acetic acid nọgidere na-abawanye kwa afọ. 1 nde tọn n'ime afọ abụọ gara aga.Na 2023, a na-atụ anya ịgbakwunye 1.2 nde tọn acetic acid, sochiri tọn 260,000 nke methane chloride, 180,000 tọn methyl tert-butyl ether (MTBE) na 550,000 tọn N, n-dimethylformamide (DMF).N'ozuzu, uto nke ụlọ ọrụ methanol ọdịnala na-achọwanyewanye, usoro oriri methanol nke ụlọ na-ewetakwa usoro mmepe dịgasị iche iche, usoro oriri nwere ike gbanwee.Agbanyeghị, atụmatụ mmepụta nke ikike ọhụrụ ndị a na ụlọ ọrụ ọdịnala ọdịnala na-elekwasịkarị anya na ọkara nke abụọ ma ọ bụ na njedebe nke afọ, nke ga-enwe oke nkwado maka ahịa methanol na 2023.
Ihe ịma jijiji ahịa bụ ihe a na-apụghị izere ezere
Dị ka usoro ọkọnọ na ọchịchọ dị ugbu a si kwuo, Shao Huiwen, bụ onye na-akọwa ahịa ahịa, kwuru na ikike mmepụta methanol nke ụlọ enweworị ike n'ókè ụfọdụ, ma n'ihi oke ọnụ ala nke methanol akụrụngwa nwere ike ịnọgide na-emetụta, ma Enwere ike ịhazi ikike mmepụta nke methanol ọhụrụ na 2023 dị ka atụmatụ si dị ka atụmatụ ahụ si dị, a ka na-ahụkwa mmepụta ihe, na mmepụta na-etinyekwa uche na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ, nke ga-adị mma maka nhazi nke methanol. ahịa na ọkara mbụ nke 2023.
Site n'echiche nke usoro mmepụta nke ngwaọrụ methanol ọhụrụ nke mba ọzọ, a na-etinye ike mmepụta na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ.Nrụgide nke mbubata mbubata nwere ike pụta ìhè na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ.Ọ bụrụ na mbubata mbubata dị ala na-abawanye, ahịa methanol ụlọ ka ga-eche mmetụta nke ngwaahịa ebubata na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ.
Na mgbakwunye, na 2023, omenala downstream ụlọ ọrụ nke methanol na abụrụ ụlọ ọrụ na-eme atụmatụ itinye n'ime mmepụta nke ọhụrụ nkeji, n'ime nke ọhụrụ ikike nke MTO bụ tumadi integrated mmepụta, methanol dị ọcha mmanụ ụgbọala nwere incremental ahịa na ubi nke ọhụrụ ume. , A na-atụ anya ka methanol na-achọ ka ọ ga-abawanye, mana mmụba nwere ike ịga n'ihu na-ebelata.Ahịa methanol ụlọ n'ozuzu ka nọ n'ọnọdụ nke oke ibu.A na-atụ anya na ahịa methanol nke ụlọ ga-ebu ụzọ bilie wee kwụsie ike na 2023, na enweghị ike iwepụ ohere ime mgbanwe na ọkara nke abụọ nke afọ.Otú ọ dị, n'ihi ọnụ ahịa dị elu nke raw coal na gas, ọ na-esiri ike imeziwanye ahịa methanol n'oge dị mkpirikpi, na n'ozuzu ujo bụ ihe a na-apụghị izere ezere.
Ndị na-ahụ maka ụlọ ọrụ kwuru na nkezi uto nke ike mmepụta methanol kwa afọ n'ime afọ ise na-abịa, a na-atụ anya na ọ ga-adị n'ụdị dị larịị nke 3% ruo 4%.N'otu oge ahụ, na mmepụta mmepụta na nkwalite nkà na ụzụ, ihe karịrị otu nde tọn methanol ka olefin ntinye ngwaọrụ ka bụ isi, carbon green na ndị ọzọ na-apụta usoro ga-abụ ihe mgbakwunye.Methanol ka aromatics na methanol na mmanụ ụgbọala ga-enwetakwa ohere mmepe ọhụrụ na mgbasawanye nke ụlọ ọrụ mmepụta ihe, ma ngwaọrụ na-akwado onwe ya ka bụ usoro mmepe mmepe, ike ịnye ọnụahịa ga-adị n'aka nnukwu ụlọ ọrụ na-eduga, na A na-atụ anya na a ga-emeziwanye ihe nke nnukwu mgbanwe na ahịa methanol.
Oge nzipu: Feb-08-2023