Kemgbe ntiwapụ nke esemokwu dị n'etiti Russia na Ukraine, Europe echewo nsogbu ike ihu.Ọnụ ahịa mmanụ na gas ebiliwo nke ukwuu, na-eduga na mmụba dị ukwuu na ọnụahịa mmepụta nke akụrụngwa kemịkalụ metụtara ala.
N'agbanyeghị enweghị uru akụrụngwa ya, ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ nke Europe ka na-enweta pasenti 18 nke ahịa kemịkalụ zuru ụwa ọnụ (ihe dị ka 4.4 trillion yuan), ọ bụ nke abụọ na Asia, ma bụrụkwa ụlọ BASF, onye na-emepụta kemịkalụ kacha ukwuu n'ụwa.
Mgbe ọkọnọ elu dị n'ihe egwu, ọnụ ahịa ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ Europe na-arị elu nke ukwuu.China, North America, Middle East na mba ndị ọzọ na-adabere na akụ nke ha ma ọ naghị emetụta ya.
N'oge dị mkpirikpi, ọnụ ahịa ike Europe nwere ike ịdị elu, ebe ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ nke China ga-enwe uru dị mma dị ka ọrịa na-efe efe na China na-akawanye mma.
Mgbe ahụ, maka ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ ndị China, kemịkalụ kemịkalụ ga-eweta ohere?
MDI: Oghere ọnụ ahịa gbasaa ruo 1000 CNY/MT
Ụlọ ọrụ MDI niile na-eji otu usoro, usoro phosgene nke mmiri mmiri, mana ụfọdụ ngwaahịa etiti nwere ike ịmepụta site na coal isi na gas isi usoro abụọ.N'ihe gbasara isi mmalite nke CO, methanol na amonia sịntetik, China na-ejikarị emeputa kemịkalụ coal, ebe Europe na United States na-ejikarị mmepụta gas.
Ka ọ dị ugbu a, ikike MDI nke China bụ 41% nke ikike zuru ụwa ọnụ, ebe Europe na-aza 27%.Ka ọ na-erule ngwụsị nke February, ọnụ ahịa nke imepụta MDI na gas sitere n'okike dị ka akụrụngwa na Europe mụbara ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 2000 CNY / MT, ebe na njedebe nke March, ọnụ ahịa nke imepụta MDI na coal dị ka akụrụngwa mụbara ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 1000 CNY / MT.Ọnụ ego efu bụ ihe dịka 1000 CNY / MT.
Ihe ndekọ mgbọrọgwụ na-egosi na mbupụ MDI polymerized nke China ruru ihe karịrị 50%, gụnyere mkpokọta mbupụ na 2021 dị elu dị ka nde 1.01 MT, uto otu afọ n'afọ nke 65%.MDI bụ ngwaahịa azụmaahịa zuru ụwa ọnụ, ọnụ ahịa zuru ụwa ọnụ jikọtara nke ukwuu.Ọnụ ego dị elu nke mba ofesi na-atụ anya na ọ ga-eme ka asọmpi mbupụ na ọnụahịa nke ngwaahịa ndị China dịkwuo elu.
TDI: Oghere ọnụ ahịa gbasaa ruo 1500 CNY/MT
Dị ka MDI, ụlọ ọrụ TDI zuru ụwa ọnụ na-eji usoro phosgene, na-agbaso usoro phosgene mmiri mmiri, mana ụfọdụ ngwaahịa etiti nwere ike ịmepụta site na coal isi na gas isi usoro abụọ.
Ka ọ na-erule ngwụsị nke February, ọnụ ahịa nke imepụta MDI na gas sitere n'okike dị ka akụrụngwa na Europe mụbara ihe dị ka 2,500 CNY / MT, ebe na njedebe nke March, ọnụ ahịa nke imepụta MDI na coal dị ka akụrụngwa mụbara ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 1,000 CNY/ MT.Ọdịiche nke ọnụ ahịa ahụ gbasaa ruo ihe dịka 1500 CNY/MT.
Ka ọ dị ugbu a, ikike TDI nke China bụ 40% nke ikike zuru ụwa ọnụ, na Europe na-aza 26%.Ya mere, ọnụ ahịa dị elu nke gas sitere na Europe ga-ebute mmụba nke mmepụta TDI ọnụ ahịa ihe dịka 6500 CNY / MT.
N'ụwa niile, China bụ onye na-ebupụ TDI.Dịka data kọstọm si kwuo, mbupụ TDI China ruru ihe dịka 30%.
TDI bụkwa ngwaahịa azụmaahịa zuru ụwa ọnụ, ọnụ ahịa ụwa na-ejikọta nke ukwuu.A na-atụ anya ọnụ ahịa dị elu nke mba ofesi ga-eme ka asọmpi mbupụ na ọnụahịa ngwaahịa ndị China dịkwuo elu.
Formic acid: arụmọrụ siri ike, ọnụ ahịa abụọ.
Formic acid bụ otu n'ime kemịkalụ siri ike na-arụ ọrụ nke afọ a, na-ebili site na 4,400 CNY/MT na mmalite nke afọ ruo 9,600 CNY/MT n'oge na-adịbeghị anya.Mmepụta formic acid na-amalitekarị site na methanol carbonylation ruo methyl formate, wee mee hydrolyzes ruo formic acid.Dị ka methanol na-ekesa mgbe niile na usoro mmeghachi omume, akụrụngwa nke formic acid bụ syngas.
Ka ọ dị ugbu a, China na Europe na-aza 57% na 34% nke ikike mmepụta zuru ụwa ọnụ nke formic acid n'otu n'otu, ebe mbupụ ụlọ nwere ihe karịrị 60%.N'ọnwa Febụwarị, mmepụta nke formic acid n'ime ụlọ dara, ọnụ ahịa ahụ rịrị elu nke ukwuu.
Nrụpụta ọnụahịa siri ike nke formic acid n'agbanyeghị enweghị oke chọrọ bụ n'ihi na ọ na-eweta nsogbu ma na China ma na mba ofesi, ntọala ya bụ nsogbu gas na mba ofesi, yana nke ka mkpa, mbelata nke mmepụta China.
Na mgbakwunye, asọmpi nke ngwaahịa ala nke ụlọ ọrụ kemịkalụ coal nwekwara nchekwube.Ngwaahịa kemịkalụ coal bụ methanol na amonia sịntetik, nke enwere ike ịgbatịkwu ya na acetic acid, ethylene glycol, olefin na urea.
Dị ka ngụkọta oge, uru uru nke methanol coal ime usoro karịrị 3000 CNY / MT;Uru efu nke usoro nhazi nke urea bụ ihe dịka 1700 CNY / MT;Ọnụ ego nke acetic acid coal eme usoro bụ ihe dịka 1800 CNY / MT;A na-ewepụ ụkọ ego nke ethylene glycol na olefin na mmepụta coal.
Oge nzipu: Ọktoba 19-2022